Thursday 20 September 2007

Microsoft Endgame, I don't think

Despite Ed Brill's exuberance at the recent announcement from IBM and the bad day in court for MS I think the impact will be minimal. MS will continue to dominate for at least for the next 3-5 years.

The court case won't change what MS does with Vista, so it has until the next OS release to decide what can be in and out - circa 2010. By then what will they have done with Office Live, S+S etc. and what will the position of the OS be as things move into the cloud.

IBMs commitment to Open Office is great and will make the product more compelling. Perhaps we'll see some penetration into the SOHO market, but I doubt penetration will be high into the Fortune 500 crowd.

Some commenters talk of Google Office replacing the lot. Well it's highly likely that things will move more online and those protagonists talking of needing local applications haven't been keeping up with developments such as Google Gears.

Ed Brill
Red Herring: Microsoft Endgame (updated)

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